Pennymac Finl Svcs Stock Performance

PFSI Stock  USD 99.92  49.78  33.25%   
The company holds a Beta of 1.66, which implies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, PennyMac Finl will likely underperform. At this point, PennyMac Finl Svcs has a negative expected return of -0.25%. Please make sure to check PennyMac Finl's skewness, as well as the relationship between the day median price and relative strength index , to decide if PennyMac Finl Svcs performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days PennyMac Finl Svcs has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
(33.25)
Five Day Return
(33.17)
Year To Date Return
(24.02)
Ten Year Return
754.02
All Time Return
423.14
Forward Dividend Yield
0.012
Payout Ratio
0.0965
Forward Dividend Rate
1.2
Dividend Date
2026-02-26
Ex Dividend Date
2026-02-13
1
Insider Trading
11/06/2025
2
Disposition of 23453 shares by Jones Doug of PennyMac Finl at 11.28 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/10/2025
3
Disposition of 196 shares by David Spector of PennyMac Finl at 129.86 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/12/2025
4
Disposition of 5000 shares by David Spector of PennyMac Finl at 99.15 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/14/2025
5
PennyMac Mortgage Crossed Above the 20-Day Moving Average What That Means for Investors
11/19/2025
 
PennyMac Finl dividend paid on 26th of November 2025
11/26/2025
6
PennyMac Mortgage Investment Trust Assessing Valuation After Recent Share Price Rebound
12/03/2025
7
Disposition of 5000 shares by Joseph Mazzella of PennyMac Finl subject to Rule 16b-3
12/22/2025
8
PennyMac Moves 6.4 percent Higher Will This Strength Last
01/12/2026
9
Assessing PennyMac Financial Services Valuation After Strong Multi Year Shareholder Returns
01/13/2026
10
Why PennyMac Financial Services Stock Is Trading Up Today
01/16/2026
11
The Bull Case For PennyMac Financial Services Could Change Following Analyst Upgrades And Policy Tailwinds - simplywall.st
01/20/2026
12
PennyMac Financial Services, Inc. Announces Date for Release of Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Results
01/22/2026
13
Is It Too Late To Consider PennyMac Financial Services After Its Strong MultiYear Rally
01/28/2026
14
PennyMac Financial Q4 Earnings and Revenues Miss Estimates
01/29/2026
15
Is PennyMac Financial Services Still Attractively Priced After Its Strong MultiYear Rally
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow938.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-1.9 B

PennyMac Finl Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  12,656  in PennyMac Finl Svcs on November 4, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,664) from holding PennyMac Finl Svcs or give up 21.05% of portfolio value over 90 days. PennyMac Finl Svcs is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 4.6199% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 41% of stocks are less volatile than PennyMac, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days PennyMac Finl is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 6.21 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.05 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.09 per unit of volatility.

PennyMac Finl Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of PennyMac Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 99.92 90 days 99.92 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PennyMac Finl to move above the current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This PennyMac Finl Svcs probability density function shows the probability of PennyMac Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.66 indicating as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, PennyMac Finl will likely underperform. Additionally PennyMac Finl Svcs has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   PennyMac Finl Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PennyMac Finl

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PennyMac Finl Svcs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PennyMac Finl's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
97.43102.05106.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
89.93128.04132.66
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
73.0377.6582.27
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
128.08140.75156.23
Details

PennyMac Finl Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PennyMac Finl is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PennyMac Finl's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PennyMac Finl Svcs, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PennyMac Finl within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.66
σ
Overall volatility
9.87
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

PennyMac Finl Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PennyMac Finl for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PennyMac Finl Svcs can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PennyMac Finl Svcs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PennyMac Finl Svcs has high historical volatility and very poor performance
PennyMac Finl Svcs currently holds about 1.52 B in cash with (4.53 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 28.96.
PennyMac Finl Svcs has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is PennyMac Financial Services Still Attractively Priced After Its Strong MultiYear Rally

PennyMac Finl Fundamentals Growth

PennyMac Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of PennyMac Finl, and PennyMac Finl fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on PennyMac Stock performance.

About PennyMac Finl Performance

By evaluating PennyMac Finl's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into PennyMac Finl's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if PennyMac Finl has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if PennyMac Finl has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 640.25  672.26 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.07  0.11 
Return On Assets 0.01  0.01 
Return On Equity 0.09  0.09 

Things to note about PennyMac Finl Svcs performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about PennyMac Finl for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for PennyMac Finl Svcs help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PennyMac Finl Svcs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
PennyMac Finl Svcs has high historical volatility and very poor performance
PennyMac Finl Svcs currently holds about 1.52 B in cash with (4.53 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 28.96.
PennyMac Finl Svcs has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 63.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is PennyMac Financial Services Still Attractively Priced After Its Strong MultiYear Rally
Evaluating PennyMac Finl's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate PennyMac Finl's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing PennyMac Finl's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether PennyMac Finl's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining PennyMac Finl's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating PennyMac Finl's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of PennyMac Finl's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of PennyMac Finl's stock. These opinions can provide insight into PennyMac Finl's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating PennyMac Finl's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact PennyMac Finl's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for PennyMac Stock analysis

When running PennyMac Finl's price analysis, check to measure PennyMac Finl's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PennyMac Finl is operating at the current time. Most of PennyMac Finl's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PennyMac Finl's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PennyMac Finl's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PennyMac Finl to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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